Scenario thinking is a useful business tool to revitalize
your strategy and make your colleagues excited about planning.
When people see the implications of change for their markets,
employees, shareholders, and customers there is more consensus
about how to change and less tendency to fall into “group-think.”
Read more about scenarios Windows on the Future: Scenarios in Market Research
For over 20 years, clients in every sector have relied on
Vector Research and Marc Zwelling to help them anticipate
change and craft practical, uncomplicated strategies to thrive
in changing times.
What are the benefits of scenarios?
- Marc was consultant to Ontario 2020 project, a forecast for education, health care, community services and the economy using the scenario system.
- Scenarios are excellent ways to increase awareness of
external issues (especially in complex planning environments)
- Scenarios improve your sensitivity to how the planning
environment is changing. By showing you events and changes
people would rather not face – since they are undesirable
– scenarios highlight risks and uncertainties
- Writing the scenarios enables clients to communicate
the possibility of change and the consequences to employees,
stakeholders and suppliers
- Scenarios can help build consensus in an organization
about the need to change and what should change
- Scenario thinking turns a liability – unpredictability
– into an asset, by organizing or structuring uncertainty
- Scenarios (the most likely future, the least desirable
future, etc.) allow you to see how the future happens and
anticipate what your current members, employees or customers
will want next
- If you fail to plan, you plan to fail. Most of us would
rather spot opportunities and risks sooner – in time
to discover more alternatives and take decisive action
- Scenarios are your windows on the future
Vector Research has over 20 years expertise in scenarios:
Marc has consulted on long-term economic, social, and technological
change for the presidents of Ontario's community colleges
(training and employment), the Science Council of Canada (new
technologies), the Privy Council Office (communications),
and other organizations.
In 1982-98 Marc was director of forecasting for the Intercorporate
Futures Group®, a network of executives in long-range
planning in 50 business, government and nonprofit organizations
including Bell Canada, Enbridge, NOVA, CMHC, TransCanada PipeLines,
Manitoba Hydro, CN Rail, Sears, and other organizations in
the public and private sectors.
In 1982-1996, in collaboration with the Canadian futurist
and author John Kettle, Marc published The FutureLetter, a
newsletter on marketing, economic, demographic, technological,
and social trends with some 1,200 readers.
To find out more about our Scenario Planning services,
call Marc Zwelling at 416.733.2320.